Daily Briefing
12-Week Permit ActivityRelative intensity — darker = more active
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National Permit Trend12-month rolling — Census Bureau
Top States by Permits
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Data Sources
Census Bureau
Building permits survey · Monthly
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Employment & unemployment · Monthly
FHFA
House Price Index · Quarterly
Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP by state · Quarterly
Methodology
ConstructAIQ
The Intelligence Layer for American Construction
v1.0 · Phases 1–11 · Apple HIG Redesign
Infrastructure
Infrastructure Intelligence
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Federal infrastructure spend tracking
IIJA project pipeline data
Regional infrastructure scoring
Government Spending
Government Intelligence
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Federal contract flow analysis
State budget allocation tracking
Public works pipeline visibility
Architecture, Engineering & Design
AED Intelligence
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Design firm pipeline tracking
Project backlog ratios
AED employment trend analysis
Task
Project
Industry
Task•
Crew-Level Output
—
Units per crew-day
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Project•
Schedule Performance
—
SPI (earned ÷ planned)
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Industry○
Sector Output / Input
—
GDP per worker (construction)
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Proxy Watchlist
- ○GDP per workerIndustry-level; not project-specific
6-Month Permit ForecastBase · Bull · Bear scenarios — Monte Carlo projection
BaseBullBear
○ Proxy — derived from FHFA HPI + BLS unemployment + Census permits. High uncertainty beyond 90 days.
Key Assumption
Fed funds rate holds at current level through Q3
Primary Risk
Mortgage rate spike above 7.5% would suppress demand
Confidence
Medium — 3 proxy inputs, 1 direct